Teamwork makes the dream work

How the World Cup qualifying draw works for European groups

65


European nations will discover out their path to the 2026 FIFA World Cup in the USA, Mexico and Canada when the draw is made on Friday.

Here is every thing you should know in regards to the qualifying marketing campaign for the UEFA confederation.

When is the World Cup qualifying draw?

The draw will happen on Friday at 11 a.m. U.Okay. / 6 a.m. ET.

What are the draw pots?

The eight groups who participate within the UEFA Nations League (UNL) quarterfinals have been robotically positioned in Pot 1, together with England, Belgium, Switzerland and Austria.

It is because the UNL quarterfinal winners should be in a gaggle of 4 and have the worldwide dates free in March and June.

Because it turned out, the 12 groups in Pot 1 are the highest 12 groups by FIFA World Rating anyway.

All different pots are decided by FIFA World Rating.

The UNL quarterfinal groups seem as winners of / losers of ties (extra to return on this).

How does the draw work?

It is just a little difficult, so stick with us.

Together with the eight groups who’re within the UNL QFs from Pot 1 there are two, Austria and Belgium, who will play a promotion/relegation playoff (PO) in March. Solely England and Switzerland is not going to want March free.

From Pots 2, 3 and 4, there are 14 nations are within the POs in March.

Within the unique draw rules all groups who have to play POs have been to be prioritised into a gaggle of 4. FIFA up to date the rules on the finish of November to take away this clause. It was deemed unfair as a result of PO groups in Pots 2, 3 and 4 have been going to be compelled into more durable teams — doubtlessly in opposition to UNL QF winners from Pot 1, and high-ranked fellow PO groups from the opposite pots.

It is not such excellent news for the six groups in Pot 2 who don’t want a PO, because the outdated rules ensured they’d go into a gaggle of 5 and robotically keep away from the 4 strongest nations as UNL QF winners.

That is what we all know for sure at first of the draw:
– The 4 UNL QF winners should go into a gaggle of 4
– A gaggle of 5 can include just one UNL QF losers or PO workforce.

The draw begins will all groups from Pot 1, by way of to Pot 5. The four-team teams (A to F) are stuffed first, topic to the draw circumstances for UNL groups.

What else ought to we glance out for?

Pot 1

England and Switzerland should not assured to be in a gaggle of 5, however the chances are 75%. There are eight doable teams for them, and solely two include 4 groups.

Pot 2

Six non-PO: Sweden, Wales, Poland, Romania, Czechia, Norway
Six PO: Ukraine, Turkey, Hungary, Serbia, Greece, Slovakia

As a gaggle of 5 can solely include one PO workforce, what occurs to England and Switzerland is the deciding issue.

Within the unlikely occasion that each England and Switzerland find yourself in a gaggle of 4 groups, all Pot 2 PO groups must go into a gaggle of 4, and all non-PO groups in Pot 2 into a gaggle of 5.
If one in all England and Switzerland are in a gaggle of 4, that would depart just one doable group of 4 for the non-PO groups.
If each England and Switzerland are in a gaggle of 5, it leaves two doable teams in a gaggle of 4 for the non-PO groups.

Pot 3

Seven non-PO: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Finland, Israel, Montenegro, Northern Eire, North Macedonia
5 PO: Scotland, Slovenia, Republic of Eire, Georgia, Iceland

By the point we get to Pot 3 it is doable all five-team teams will have already got a PO workforce, which robotically locations the 5 PO groups on this pot into a gaggle of 4.

Pot 4:

Twelve non-PO: Azerbaijan, Belarus, Cyprus, Estonia, Faroe Islands, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg
Three PO: Armenia, Bulgaria, Kosovo

There’s even much less likelihood that there will probably be a five-team group obtainable to the three PO groups on this pot.

The UNL PO groups in Pot 5 is not going to play their ties till March 2026, so are unaffected for the World Cup draw.

How is it going to work for UEFA Nations League QF winners?

Because the quarterfinals of the UNL are held in March, it will not be recognized till then which 4 nations will need to have June free for the finals, and be in a gaggle of 4.

So 4 teams could have the winners of a UNL quarterfinal tie, and 4 teams the losers of a UNL quarterfinal tie, as placeholders, as proven within the pots.

It means eight World Cup teams is not going to know their Pot 1 opponents till March.

Quarterfinals
Netherlands vs. Spain
Croatia vs. France
Denmark vs. Portugal
Italy vs. Germany

What’s the format of European World Cup qualifying?

There are 54 lively nations in UEFA. The fifty fifth, Russia, is not going to participate because of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

The 54 groups will probably be drawn into 12 teams — six will include 5 nations, and 6 could have 4 nations.

When are the video games performed?

There are 10 worldwide dates, in pairs in March, June, September, October and November.

Groups in a gaggle of 5 will start qualifying in March. Nonetheless, if a five-team group comprises a UNL QF or PO workforce, they will need to have the March dates off. Different nations could have two spare dates for worldwide friendlies.

Groups in a gaggle of 4 will begin qualifying in September and the dates in March and June will probably be free for UNL QF, PO or worldwide friendlies.

What number of European groups qualify for the expanded World Cup?

Underneath the outdated format UEFA offered 13 nations. That will increase by three to 16 for the 2026 version.

How do groups qualify for the World Cup?

The 12 group winners go direct to the World Cup.

The 12 runners-up will go into the playoffs, joined by 4 groups from the final version of the UEFA Nations League, to battle it out for the ultimate 4 spots.

How do UEFA Nations League groups make the World Cup playoffs?

The 14 group winners from the 2024 version of the UNL have been ranked from Nations League A by way of to League D. The primary 4 UNL group winners who don’t end within the high two of their World Cup qualifying group will get a playoff.

The precedence order for the 4 World Cup playoff locations is:
Spain
Germany
Portugal
France
England
Norway
Wales
Czechia
Romania
Sweden
North Macedonia
Northern Eire
Moldova
San Marino

Of the 14 groups to win their UNL teams, 10 of these are in Pot 1 or 2 for the draw — so on rating would end within the high two of their group. If that involves cross, North Macedonia, Northern Eire, Moldova and San Marino would get a playoff place.

If, after going by way of all of the group winners, there are nonetheless playoff locations obtainable then it reverts to general UNL League rating — that means it runs by way of the entire of League A relatively than by way of all group runners-up.

How do the World Cup playoffs work?

Groups will probably be seeded on efficiency for one-legged ties to be performed in March 2026.

Pot 1: World Cup qualifying group runners-up with the very best 4 information
Pot 2: As above, groups fifth to eighth
Pot 3: As above, groups ninth to twelfth
Pot 4: UEFA Nations League groups

Semifinals:
Pot 1 vs. Pot 4
Pot 2 vs. Pot 3

The upper-ranked groups will probably be at residence within the semifinals.

The winners will meet within the last, with a draw carried out upfront to find out which workforce is at residence.

The winners of the 4 playoff finals qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.