UWCL playoff spherical preview: Can Arsenal keep profitable momentum?

The inaugural UEFA Girls’s Champions League play-offs get underway on Wednesday, ushering in a brand new chapter within the competitors’s format and elevating the stakes for the eight groups within the combine.

The edges that completed between fifth and twelfth within the league part now face a high-pressure, two-legged battle to progress to the knockouts and with little room for error, the play-offs current contrasting motivations. Established powers resembling Arsenal and Wolfsburg are aiming to reaffirm their place amongst Europe’s elite, whereas Manchester United and OH Leuven hope to rewrite historical past and prolong what has already been a standout debut marketing campaign. Elsewhere, Atletico Madrid and Actual Madrid are pushed by the possibility to recapture former glory, every pushing to surpass their best-ever runs within the competitors.

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Apart from Wolfsburg and Juventus — acquainted adversaries from earlier editions of the competitors — all remaining ties characteristic opponents who already crossed paths within the league part. Nonetheless, a lot has modified since these earlier conferences, with the winter break and switch window reshaping squads, type, and momentum throughout the board.

With quarterfinal locations on the road on the finish of March, the stakes are excessive. The winners will advance to face the 4 groups who secured computerized qualification to the knockouts: Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Chelsea, and OL Lyonnes.

Arsenal vs. OH Leuven: Rejuvenated Arsenal current a special problem

The final time Arsenal confronted debutants OH Leuven got here on the tail finish of 2025 throughout a turbulent interval for the reigning champions. A poor run of type had left them needing not solely a win, but in addition a number of beneficial outcomes elsewhere to safe a top-four end. Disappointing outcomes in each the Champions League and the Girls’s Tremendous League (WSL) had successfully derailed their European title defence and home push for a primary title since 2019, with losses and attracts all however ruling them out of rivalry.

That context couldn’t be extra totally different from the one surrounding this two-legged play-off, as Arsenal have began the second half of the season in formidable vogue. Taking seven factors from fellow high three sides of their first three league matches of the yr has despatched a transparent message, together with a slender 1-0 victory over champions-elect Manchester Metropolis that is opened the door barely on the title race. Momentum has carried past the home competitions, with Arsenal lifting the inaugural FIFA Champions Cup and claiming the mantle of world champions, although they had been aided by the benefits afforded to them.

Their 3-0 victory over OH Leuven within the league part got here at a time when Arsenal had been struggling for attacking fluency, recurrently failing to transform possibilities, and exhibiting uncharacteristic defensive vulnerability. Regardless of the snug scoreline, the efficiency was removed from their greatest. Now, nonetheless, the title holders seem to have lastly discovered their rhythm at each ends of the pitch, and OL Leuven are doubtless in for a far sterner take a look at if they’re to achieve the knockouts for the primary time.

Paris FC vs. Actual Madrid: Spanish facet’s probability for an El Clasico knockout

Actual Madrid had been held to a 1-1 draw by Paris FC within the league part, a consequence that summed up a marketing campaign marked by inconsistency. Expectations across the facet have typically outpaced their on-pitch output, however a possible breakthrough looms if they’ll navigate the play-offs. Ready on the opposite facet may very well be the ladies’s Champions League’s first El Clasico since 2022 — a painful 5-2 drubbing — however previous wounds will be the motivation wanted to galvanise this Madrid squad.

Madrid endured 18 consecutive defeats by the hands of the Catalans. Nonetheless, their landmark first Clasico victory in March 2025 has shifted the narrative. That consequence not solely boosted perception domestically, however might additionally show decisive in sharpening focus towards Paris FC and in reigniting ambitions to problem Europe’s elite, together with final season’s finalists and former champions.

Traditionally, Madrid have by no means progressed past the quarterfinals of the competitors. The will to lastly disrupt Barcelona’s dominance and safe a first-ever semifinal look will be the gasoline that drives them ahead.

There isn’t a scarcity of intent or ambition inside the squad, however the execution has been missing on pitch. Conversion stays their largest concern. Regardless of averaging greater than 20 photographs per recreation this season, Madrid have repeatedly struggled to show strain into targets, typically scoring simply a few times per match. If they’ll discover better ruthlessness in entrance of aim, the pathway to their deepest Champions League run but might lastly open.

Wolfsburg vs. Juventus: German facet’s lack of ability to carry constructive positions proves Juve’s largest probability

Wolfsburg have typically appeared in management throughout each particular person matches and stretches of the league part this season, but repeatedly they’ve discovered methods to let these benefits slip. Few sides have been as persistently well-positioned, and few have been as annoyed by the outcomes. For instance, the German giants managed to guard leads of their opening two fixtures earlier than eight-time champions OL Lyonnes handed them their first defeat of the marketing campaign. A subsequent victory over Manchester United appeared to regular the ship, leaving Wolfsburg in a powerful place: if they might keep away from defeat of their last two matches, a top-four end would have been secured.

As an alternative, acquainted flaws resurfaced. In opposition to Actual Madrid, Wolfsburg did not capitalise regardless of having fun with a two-player benefit, falling to a dangerous 2-0 defeat. Days later, an early lead towards Chelsea as soon as once more went to waste, ending in a 2-1 loss. They ranked sixteenth out of 18 league-phase groups in minutes trailing (166), which bolstered a long-standing concern in regards to the membership: when Wolfsburg are on high, they too typically wrestle to take care of management and see video games via.

That inconsistency makes this fixture tough to foretell. Historical past presents some consolation — Wolfsburg stay one of many solely winners of the competitors — however latest years counsel a lingering psychological hurdle. They haven’t lifted the trophy since 2014 and reminiscences of the 2023 last stay uncooked, when a commanding early 2-0 lead descended right into a 4-2 defeat to Barcelona.

It’s unlikely that Wolfsburg may have mounted this concern of surrendering profitable positions forward of going through Juventus. Till they show in any other case, confidence of their capability to shut out decisive moments will stay fragile, and the Italian facet might look to capitalise on these fragilities to achieve the knockouts.

Atletico Madrid vs. Manchester United: Are we seeing the rise of Atletico?

Atletico and United have already crossed paths through the league part, the place the English debutants claimed a slender 1-0 win. The Spanish facet have quietly established themselves as one of many competitors’s darkish horses, navigating the group stage with out elimination and, on paper no less than, securing one of many extra beneficial routes to the knockout rounds.

United, making their competitors debut, current a formidable problem. Acutely aware of their struggles in entrance of aim earlier within the marketing campaign, they’ve bolstered their attacking choices with three new signings in an effort so as to add innovative. But Atleti’s regular rise has shifted the stability of the tie of their favour.

The ill-tempered contest that noticed either side diminished to 10 gamers final trip has solely sharpened Atleti’s resolve as they appear to make a press release on the European stage. The Spanish facet discovered the web 13 instances throughout their six league-phase matches, underlining their attacking menace, and each groups arrive in improved type in comparison with their final encounter.

Atletico even have gained 4 of their final 5 two-legged ties in UEFA competitions. In contrast, United’s restricted expertise at this degree is mirrored in a blended report, with one win and one defeat throughout two-legged ties.

For Atletico, this represents an opportunity to rekindle European momentum they haven’t really felt since their quarter-final look in 2019-20. Having typically struggled to even qualify in latest seasons, a powerful league marketing campaign final yr has altered perceptions. Now, perception is rising that this run might go additional.